9a. Prisoner's Dilemma Tournament (Axelrod Style)

Agents play iterated Prisoner's Dilemma using various strategies. In Axelrod's famous tournament, Tit-for-Tat consistently won -- demonstrating that being nice, retaliatory, forgiving, and clear leads to evolutionary success.

Controls

Strategies

Payoff Matrix

CooperateDefect CR=3, R=3S=0, T=5 DT=5, S=0P=1, P=1
StatusReady
Strategies8
Top Strategy--
#StrategyScore

How It Works

Individual rationality says "defect" -- but mutual cooperation beats mutual defection (3,3 vs 1,1). In iterated games, the "shadow of the future" enables cooperation through reciprocity.

  • Tit-for-Tat: Cooperate first, then copy opponent's last move. Nice, retaliatory, forgiving, clear.
  • Grudger: Cooperate until betrayed, then always defect. Retaliatory but unforgiving.
  • Pavlov (WSLS): Repeat last move if rewarded (R or T), switch if punished (S or P).
  • Axelrod's findings: Successful strategies are (1) nice, (2) retaliatory, (3) forgiving, (4) clear.

Real World Examples

  • ⚖️ Arms races between nations (US-Soviet Cold War)
  • 💰 Price wars between competing companies
  • 🌎 Climate change negotiations between countries
  • 💻 Open-source software contribution
  • 🏠 Roommate chores and shared responsibilities
  • 👥 Trade agreements and tariff wars

Key Insight

"Be nice, be retaliatory, be forgiving, be clear. Tit-for-Tat wins not by beating anyone, but by eliciting cooperation -- it never scores higher than its opponent in any single match, yet wins the tournament overall."

9b. Collective Action / Public Goods Game

N players each decide how much to contribute to a public good. Contributions are multiplied by factor m and shared equally. The dominant strategy is to free-ride, but universal free-riding produces the worst collective outcome -- the fundamental tension of collective action.

Controls

Round0
Public Pool0
Avg Payoff0
Free-Rider %0%
Cooperation %0%

How It Works

Each player has an endowment and decides how much to contribute to the public pot. The pot is multiplied by m (where 1 < m < N) and split equally among all players regardless of contribution.

  • Free-rider problem: Each dollar contributed returns only m/N to the contributor (less than $1), so rational agents contribute nothing.
  • Social optimum: Everyone contributing maximizes total welfare since m > 1.
  • Punishment: Costly punishment of free-riders (pay 1 to reduce free-rider by 3) sustains cooperation.
  • Communication: Even cheap talk increases cooperation significantly in experiments.

Real World Examples

  • 💶 Tax compliance -- everyone benefits from roads, but each individual wants to avoid paying
  • 💻 Open-source software and Wikipedia -- voluntary contribution to public goods
  • 🚑 Neighborhood watch programs -- collective security through individual effort
  • 📚 Team projects in school/work -- individual effort creates shared output
  • 💉 Vaccine uptake -- herd immunity as a public good
  • 🌎 Carbon emissions reduction -- global benefit, individual cost

Key Insight

"Collective action problems are many-player Prisoner's Dilemmas: each person has an incentive to defect, but collectively, everyone does better by cooperating. The key is designing institutions that align individual incentives with group welfare."

9c. Common Pool Resource / Ostrom's Design Principles

A shared resource (fishery) regenerates over time but can be depleted if total harvest exceeds the regeneration rate. Without governance rules, individuals over-exploit the commons. Elinor Ostrom showed communities can self-govern through design principles.

Controls

Ostrom's Principles

Year0
Resource1000
Total Harvest0
Sustainable Yield0
Depletion ETA--

How It Works

The resource grows logistically: Growth = r * Resource * (1 - Resource/K). Without governance, each harvester takes more than their sustainable share.

  • Monitoring: Harvesters aware of being watched reduce overextraction by ~30%.
  • Graduated Sanctions: Mild penalties for first offenses, escalating for repeat violators.
  • Clear Boundaries: Defining who can harvest prevents open-access tragedy.
  • Collective Choice: Harvesters agree on quotas, aligning individual behavior with sustainability.

Real World Examples

  • 🎣 Ocean fisheries -- cod collapse on Grand Banks, Maine lobster success
  • 💧 Groundwater aquifer depletion in California, India
  • 🌱 Grazing commons -- historical English commons, Mongolian steppe
  • 📡 Electromagnetic spectrum allocation
  • 🌎 Atmospheric CO2 as a global commons
  • 🚗 Parking spaces in shared lots

Key Insight

"Elinor Ostrom won the Nobel Prize by showing that communities can self-govern shared resources without privatization or top-down regulation -- through clear boundaries, monitoring, graduated sanctions, and collective choice. The tragedy of the commons is not inevitable."